Viet Nam HIV/AIDS Estimates and Projections 2007–2012
April 30, 2009

Viet Nam HIV/AIDS Estimates and Projections 2007–2012

During the last 20 years since the first case of HIV detected in 1990, Viet Nam has endeavored to provide comprehensive interventions targeting the HIV epidemic and care and treatment services for people living with HIV and AIDS. As of December 2008, a reported 138,000 people nationwide are living with HIV, 29,500 of which are suffering from AIDS, and 41,000 lives have been lost from AIDS related illnesses. However, more concerning is evidence that suggests the HIV infection rate is higher than the number of cases presently reported and managed.

A second round of estimates and projections was conducted in 2007 to estimate future burden and impacts of HIV/AIDS in order to inform national programs anticipating prevention and care needs in Viet Nam. Similar to the 2003 estimates and projections process, seroprevalence data, population size estimates, and pertinent data from ad hoc studies were entered into the Estimation and Projection Package (EPP) Version 3.0 R9 to generate low, medium, and high scenarios of the HIV epidemic. The epidemic curves generated by EPP were then combined with antiretroviral therapy (ART) and prevention of mother to child (PMTCT) data into a second modeling program, SPECTRUM Version 3.14, for further estimates of prevalence, treatment needs, and AIDS related mortality, among other important data presented in this report. National and region-specific outcomes were generated for the 1990-2012 period in Viet Nam and apply to both the general and high risk populations nationwide.

Organizations:

Vietnam Administration of HIV/AIDS Control (VAAC)

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